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 | Written by Jim Sarruda on Friday, 12 September 2008
Category:Sheldon on Sports
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One O’Clockers
Tennessee at Cincinnati
Good god Cincinnati looked dreadful. I can guarantee you they won’t be a popular pick this week. I expect the line to get pretty unreasonable for the titans to cover. Not to mention, the bungals will be at home. I can promise you two things. First, Chad Johnson will still not have Ocho Cinco on the back of his jersey. Second, the Bengals defense can only get faster.
I would pick the Bengals at home if the spread is more than 7.
Moneyline: Bengals
Buffalo at Jacksonville
Marcus Stroud returns to ALLTEL stadium, but wearing blue and red. Will the defensive lineman be instrumental in the run pluggage of Maurice Jones-Drew? Maybe the key will be Will James, cornerback who played awful football for Philadelphia last year and was eventually cut by the Bills. The Jaguars will be in trouble if he is “guarding” Lee Evans.
The Jaguars lack a go to receiver and Mr. Jones-Drew didn’t do squat last week against Tennessee. The Bills will probably load the box, so the Question is will David Garrard step up?
I don’t like David Garrard. The Jags are also weak on the offensive line. I think Garrard will not be relaxed in the pocket, but still post a mediocre performance. I am going with the Bills to flush a road victory bigger than Samuel Adams at a Taco Bell.
Moneyline: Bills –ONE O’CLOCK UPSET SPECIAL
Oakland at Kansas City
With AFC West division games I like to throw all stats/trends/talent to the wind. Chances are they will split and its in your best financial interest to take the home team. I think Oakland will be the better team this year, even though I have both finishing 9-7. I would take the Chiefs in a toss up.
Moneyline: Chiefs
Indianapolis at Minnesota
I have no idea how the Colts managed to blow a game against the Norris Division last week. Horrible football. They gave the Bears a fumble for a touchdown, a safety, and the offense only put up 13 points. The Colts could not stop Matt Forte, how will they stop Adrian Peterson?
Although I think Peyton Manning will have his Colts very motivated to win this game, I would be careful with the spread. Again, I wouldn’t bet on them to cover more than four.
Moneyline: Colts
Chicago at Carolina
Kyle Orton isn’t a superstar, but he will minimize his mistakes and win some games for a solid defensive team.. I have always liked Kyle Orton and last week was a perfect example of how he could be effective. I think a contest between Chicago and Carolina will feature a lot of defense and an excessive use of the ground game. I smell a winning streak for Chicago in a tight game.
Moneyline: Bears
Green Bay at Detroit
I think we all agree that Aaron Rodgers looked good on Monday night, despite the horrific play of the rest of the Packers. Green Bay has started the year with 12 penalties. They are currently on pace to break an NFL Record for Penalties in a season. No team has started the season with as many penalties since the 2005 Green Bay Packers. Figures, Al Harris was and still is on the team..
I think Aaron Rodgers will turn in another solid performance, but the Lions will put up some points. Also, the visiting team is usually penalized more. Give me the Lions by a handful.
Moneyline: Lions
New York Giants at St. Louis
The Giants will get absolutely manhandled by the Rams. You’ll see.
Moneyline: Rams
New Orleans at Washington
I actually predicted the Redskins to lose three games all season. So far, they’ve dropped the first one to the Giants. After the Skins looked like absolute junk on both offense and defense against the Giants, I don’t know if I can uphold this prediction. I will have to see a majestic improvement this week against the Saints. The Redskins line didn’t give Campbell anytime to throw the ball. The line didn’t allow for the receivers to even run a route deeper than seven yards. The Saints and Sean Peyton have a solid defense, and I fear the skins will be in trouble.
I expect the Redskins pass rush to slow down Brees. I expect the Saints to have a slow and steadily inflow of points like last week, but won’t score more then 24. The question will be if the Redskins can top that. I don’t think they will. I think they might stay within ten, since they are home.
Moneyline: Saints
Late Afternoon Delights
HotLanta at Tampa Bay
The Falcons looked good last week. Well, mainly their running game looked good…and they were home. This week the rookie quarterback hits the road against what has historically been a solid Buccaneers defense. Brian Griese will be under center for the Bucs this week, and believe it or not, I think that could be a good thing. I have always been a fan of Griese.
I really want to say that the Falcons will hit a winning streak before they go 3-13. The way I look at it, this is their last chance to win until November. I think Tampa is a very weak team, and this would be their chance at early season success for a young quarterback. I’ll tell you what. I will cheer on the falcons, but I would have to put my money on the Bucs. They should win by at least seven.
Moneyline: Bucs
San Francisco at Seattle
The Niners offense might not be atrocious, but it still isn’t anything to salivate over. J.T. O’Sullivan wasn’t terrible in the Niners week one boring loss to the Cardinals. Who knows what to expect. Seattle has a very good pass rush, which could be neutralized by effective running from Frank Gore. The 49ers defense is always a concern, but the Seahawks offense really has no weapons. Situations like these, I figure division rivals will split and am going with the home team in a toss up.
Moneyline: Seattle
New England at New York Jets
This game should be so easy to pick. You know what? I think it still is. I have no faith in the New York football Bretts. They looked like poo last week. Why is everyone hyping them up. Trojan man Matt Cassel will show the world that Tom Brady does not make or break this football team. Besides, you know Belichick wants to take it to Mangini. The Patriots should cover the little spread.
Moneyline: Pats
San Diego at Denver
Denver looked really good last week. Jay Cutler could move the ball. Eddie Royal accounted for 100% of the unplanned for Denver Bronco offense. In fact, the Broncos looked like a contender. Oh wait, they were playing Oakland. Does that mean it is all scrapped?
Probably. The Super Charge have probably the best cornerback tandem in football. Well, aside from Denver. Both teams seem to have confident pass offenses, but only one team has LaDainian Tomlinson. Shawn Merriman is a difference maker, but he doesn’t play for the Broncos…or the Chargers. He might be gone for the season. I would say it is another toss up. If you’re playing the spread I would take the Broncos at home, but only if they are dogs.
Moneyline: Broncos
Miami at Arizona
God I don’t want to pick this game. On one hand you have a high potential Cardinals team. A team that has at this point managed to retain both starting receivers, despite neither produced last week. A team starting Kurt Warner, the poster boy for a “one hit wonder” equivalent to the NFL.
On the other hand you have Miami, featuring Chad Pennington. Miami looked dreadful last week, with Anthony Fasano being the lone point of success for the entire team. The Cardinals game plan should be to stop Fasano. If they could do this, (and that’s a big if) they should win. Maybe it is due to last season, but I just can’t see the Dolphins taking this one on the road. I would take the Cardinals regardless of the spread.
Moneyline: Cardinals
Baltimore at Houston
Now isn’t this a battle of champions. I am going to keep it simple. Cincinnati played so bad, words cannot describe. Houston is actually marginally better. I expect the Texans to win this one at home, and actually cover up to a ten point spread.
People will be surprised at how good Houston is going to look.
Moneyline: Texans
THE NIGHT GAMES
Pittsburg at Cleveland
The last two years this matchup was supposed to be invigorating and close. The last two years Pittsburg played Cleveland by the Lake, they dominated them. Every year I pick Cleveland to be impressive against the Steelers, and every year I am wrong. Considering Cleveland already got dominated once this year, I would probably be wrong again. So this year, I should pick Pittsburg to win this game and I should pick them to cover the spread.
But I am stubborn. I think Pittsburg is going to visit the Dawg Pound and get shredded to pieces. I think this game is going to be sticky, muddy, and epic. I think the Browns are going to win this year. I picture it raining.
Moneyline: Cleveland
Philadelphia at Dallas
I picked Philly to lose five games and I’m sticking to it. They are: Cowboys in Dallas, Redskins in D.C., Giants in N.Y., Steelers, Ravens.
Philly will cover the spread though, I promise. They actually have a very good chance to win and I sincerely hope they do.
Moneyline: Dallas
Five Picks That Cannot Lose:
Buffalo +5 - As I said before, I think Buffalo is a good sleeper this week. They have an underrated defense and Jacksonville struggled to run the football and protect the quarterback last week. I expect a close game and if you could tease that line up a bit, you should be in good shape.
Indianapolis –2 - The Colts only have to cover by a field goal. Just because they lost last week does not mean that they lost the ability to compete for the Super Bowl. I would take the Colts in a heartbeat to avenge last week’s bad loss.
New England +1.5 - Last year’s 16-0 New England Patriots are getting points? Belichick loves the opportunity to face Mangini, don’t forget that. This is a no-brainer, Matt Cassell will not disappoint.
Lions +3.5 - Green Bay has to cover by more than a field goal on the road. I like the Lions to put up a lot of points this week.
Arizona –6.5 - I have a hard time believing Miami will win on the road. They looked horrific last week.
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By:Jim Sarruda
Category:Sheldon on Sports
Hits:3660
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